The presidential polls are all over the lot right now; every time it looks as if a trend is developing, something else happens. This morning, Real Clear Politics is giving President Obama a poll average of plus 4 percent. But Rasmussen, which tracks likely voters, continues to show a much closer race – a tie, this morning.

Rasmussen does traditionally show Republicans doing better, so maybe that’s why its numbers are out of line with those of other polls. But regardless, I had expected to see better numbers for Obama, given Mitt Romney’s stunning comments about the attack on the Libyan consulate and the revelation of his opinion about Americans who get government benefits.

The poll numbers from the swing states have stronger numbers for Obama, but there’s a problem in that. If Obama win the electoral college but loses the popular vote, or if he wins both but by razor-thin margins, he’ll start his second term with a deeply divided nation and a deeply divided, and angry, Congress.

On this point, by the way, see EJ Dionne’s Washington Post article, โ€œCan This Election Settle Anything?โ€

“Obama’s ability to govern in a second term,” Dionne writes, “thus depends not simply on his own triumph but also on the decisive defeat of those who have been obstructing him. If he wins but they win, is there much chance that the obstruction will stop?”

Mary Anna Towler is a transplant from the Southern Appalachians and is editor, co-publisher, and co-founder of City. She is happy to have converted a shy but opinionated childhood into an adult job. She...

2 replies on “I’m not finding comfort in the polls”

  1. Face it, a day old ham sandwich would decisively defeat Obama, who has spent four years hellbent on proving his disastrous incompetence and extremism.

    So the real question is whether Reid, Pelosi and their fellow septuagenarian political hacks will finally end their mindless and pointless obstructionism.

  2. j.a.m. – While I agree that , considering how far Richie Rich Romney is running behind Obama in the polls, the GOP would have done better to nominate a day old ham sandwich, I would ask that you elaborate on exactly what this “mindless and pointless obstructionism” is that you claim Reid, Pelosi, etc are supposedly engaging in.

    As to fact that they are septuagenarians, there are currently 23 Senators aged 70-79, 11 are Republicans or Independents and of these 6 are older than Reid.

    In the House there are 44 members aged 70 -79. 16 are Republicans and of these 9 are older than Pelosi.

    As to where the political hacks are, any intelligent person knows that neither party has a lock on that particular โ€œhonorโ€.

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